Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.004127 0.004336 0.004551 0.004789 0.005044 0.005311 0.005610
2025-10-19 0.003744 0.004051 0.004380 0.004758 0.005184 0.005651 0.006204
2025-10-26 0.003503 0.003865 0.004262 0.004734 0.005283 0.005905 0.006670
2025-11-02 0.003313 0.003710 0.004157 0.004700 0.005348 0.006104 0.007063
2025-11-09 0.003221 0.003658 0.004158 0.004779 0.005539 0.006450 0.007641
2025-11-16 0.003083 0.003539 0.004070 0.004742 0.005580 0.006608 0.007987
2025-11-23 0.002977 0.003452 0.004013 0.004734 0.005652 0.006801 0.008382
2025-11-30 0.002853 0.003335 0.003913 0.004666 0.005639 0.006880 0.008626
2025-12-07 0.002746 0.003236 0.003828 0.004610 0.005636 0.006968 0.008881
2025-12-14 0.002671 0.003171 0.003783 0.004602 0.005693 0.007133 0.009248
2025-12-21 0.002545 0.003038 0.003646 0.004467 0.005573 0.007053 0.009261
2025-12-28 0.002493 0.002997 0.003624 0.004482 0.005653 0.007248 0.009675
2026-01-04 0.002459 0.002977 0.003630 0.004533 0.005786 0.007523 0.010230
2026-01-11 0.002393 0.002914 0.003577 0.004504 0.005806 0.007638 0.010549
2026-01-18 0.002334 0.002859 0.003532 0.004482 0.005833 0.007764 0.010889
2026-01-25 0.002275 0.002801 0.003481 0.004450 0.005844 0.007863 0.011192
2026-02-01 0.002259 0.002800 0.003506 0.004523 0.006009 0.008200 0.011899
2026-02-08 0.002205 0.002746 0.003456 0.004488 0.006013 0.008291 0.012204
2026-02-15 0.002163 0.002707 0.003426 0.004482 0.006057 0.008444 0.012622
2026-02-22 0.002104 0.002643 0.003359 0.004418 0.006013 0.008456 0.012795
2026-03-01 0.002052 0.002586 0.003302 0.004366 0.005984 0.008489 0.013007
2026-03-08 0.002016 0.002553 0.003275 0.004359 0.006022 0.008631 0.013422
2026-03-15 0.001944 0.002466 0.003171 0.004234 0.005873 0.008461 0.013256